TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Knicks vs. Hawks
Volume:
$11,186,746
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 6 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on a binary outcome (Atlanta wins OR New York wins, both resolve YES), while Polymarket resolves on specific team outcomes (Knicks resolve to 'Knicks', Hawks resolve to 'Hawks') with distinct market structures for moneyline, spread, and totals. The fundamental resolution logic differs: Kalshi treats both outcomes as YES, while Polymarket treats them as mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi's moneyline market, understand that BOTH possible outcomes (Atlanta win or New York win) resolve to YES — this is not a typical binary bet. On Polymarket, the moneyline resolves to either 'Knicks' or 'Hawks' exclusively. Spread and total markets on Polymarket have precise threshold definitions (e.g., Knicks -1.5 requires 2+ point margin) that differ from Kalshi's simpler binary structure. Verify which platform you are trading on before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for either outcome — 'If Atlanta wins the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If New York wins the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a market where both possible game outcomes trigger YES resolution, making it functionally a binary event with no NO outcome under normal circumstances.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting convention: Polymarket's moneyline market resolves to either 'Knicks' or 'Hawks' as mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets require specific point margins ('Knicks win by 2 or more points' for Knicks -1.5), and totals require precise thresholds ('230 or more points' for Over 229.5). All player prop markets resolve YES/NO based on official NBA box scores with clear inactive-player rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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