TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Andre Drummond will score over or under 4.5 points in the Knicks vs. Celtics NBA game. Currently, Polymarket gives a 94.0% probability to Andre Drummond scoring over 4.5 points, while Jayson Tatum scoring over 25.5 points is at 55.0%. Resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and insights beyond those captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of factors and potentially reacting more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public perception. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as the event approaches, as traders on Polymarket weigh various scenarios and adjust their predictions accordingly. These differences can sometimes indicate where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of certain outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point that represents the collective prediction. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence, while selling pressure will lower the price, suggesting waning optimism.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Knicks-Celtics game as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on the established rules of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to review the market details on Polymarket for specific resolution guidelines.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Knicks or the Celtics would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also play a role. Major media coverage or expert analysis offering strong opinions on the matchup could sway public sentiment and, consequently, trading activity on Polymarket. Keep an eye on these developments, as they can all contribute to price fluctuations and changes in the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.