TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group concerns the outcome of the second half of a UEFA Europa League match between KKS Lech Poznań and Sunderland AFC. Participants are predicting which team will win the second half, or if the second half will end in a draw, based on goals scored during regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between KKS Lech Poznań and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań score more goals than Sunderland AFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if KKS Lech Poznań and Sunderland AFC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC score more goals than KKS Lech Poznań in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between KKS Lech Poznań and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań score more goals than Sunderland AFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if KKS Lech Poznań and Sunderland AFC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC score more goals than KKS Lech Poznań in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, specifically, benefits from the wisdom of the crowd, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds may reflect factors not fully captured by prediction market traders, such as team news or injuries, and may offer different value depending on individual risk tolerance.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland match can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market creation on Polymarket and Predict may contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors KKS Lech Poznań to win the second half? at n/a, while Predict leans toward Sunderland AFC to win the second half? at 98. These differences highlight the independent nature of each market.