TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between KKS Lech Poznań and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the KKS Lech Poznań vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between KKS Lech Poznań and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the KKS Lech Poznań vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It's important to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the KKS Lech Poznań versus Bayer 04 Leverkusen match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will depend on official match results published by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified score, as reported by these sources.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lech Poznań or Leverkusen would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or shifts in team form based on recent matches, could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable football experts, could all contribute to changes in the market’s pricing.