TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in Croatia's top league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow defined guidelines to determine the final settlement.
If KK Cibona wins the Kk Samobor vs KK Cibona men's professional Croatia Premijer Liga basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kk Samobor wins the Kk Samobor vs KK Cibona men's professional Croatia Premijer Liga basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to account for a profit margin and may be influenced by public betting patterns, aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in response to changing circumstances. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kk Samobor versus KK Cibona basketball game. The winning team, as determined by the official game statistics, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will not. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even changes in weather conditions (if applicable to outdoor games) could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could create momentum and move the market. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential price movements leading up to Oct 11, 2026.