TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:36 PM EST
Kalshi
Two club teams face off in a scheduled professional basketball league game. The market outcome hinges entirely on which side achieves a higher point total by game's end.
Markets resolve to Yes for the respective team if that team wins the designated professional basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the scheduled time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading contracts, causing the price to move. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading occurs, as information asymmetry exists between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more likely the market believes that outcome is to happen. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kk Rogaska vs Polzela match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even weather conditions if the game is outdoors, could also be catalysts. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Major upsets in related games could also shift expectations.