TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Euroleague basketball matchup between KK Crvena Zvezda and KK Partizan Belgrade, scheduled for April 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction: both a Partizan win AND a Crvena Zvezda win resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive outcomes (Crvena Zvezda, Partizan, or 50-50 on cancellation), providing clear settlement logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market for this event—it is logically unresolvable as written. Both possible game outcomes trigger YES resolution, creating ambiguity in settlement. Polymarket's market is the only reliable venue for this matchup, as it provides distinct outcomes for each team and handles postponement/cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's rules state 'If KK Partizan Belgrade wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible game outcome (Partizan win or Crvena Zvezda win) resolves to YES, making the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket resolves to 'KK Crvena Zvezda' if Crvena Zvezda wins, 'Partizan' if Partizan wins, and '50-50' if the game is canceled with no make-up. This provides mutually exclusive, resolvable outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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