TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between KK Crvena Zvezda (Belgrade) and Fenerbahce (Istanbul) scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the matchup, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Crvena Zvezda win and Fenerbahce win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. Use Polymarket exclusively, which correctly implements a binary winner-take-all structure with explicit provisions for postponement and cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Logical contradiction: both Crvena Zvezda win and Fenerbahce win resolve to Yes. No valid No outcome exists. Quote: 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Fenerbahce Istanbul wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Coherent binary structure: Crvena Zvezda win resolves to 'KK Crvena Zvezda', Fenerbahce win resolves to 'Fenerbahce'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to KK Crvena Zvezda. If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to Fenerbahce.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.