TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional basketball teams compete in a match where the outcome determines which team secures a victory. The game's result is based on the official scoreboard at the end of regulation time, with no consideration for overtime periods.
The market resolves based on which team wins the designated professional basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, making this market a potentially valuable signal.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability implied by the price goes up. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the game’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the KK Buducnost Voli versus Tofas SK Bursa basketball game. The winning team, as determined by the official game score, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either KK Buducnost Voli or Tofas SK Bursa would likely have an impact. Significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could also move the market. Finally, any unexpected developments related to the game’s schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations, as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information.