TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Kiwoom Heroes and Hanwha Eagles. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event evaluates whether the total runs scored by both the Kiwoom Heroes and Hanwha Eagles in their KBO game scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, with the outcome for each determined by the actual combined run total at the end of the game. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the resolution for one does not affect the others. All markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe the actual total runs will be higher or lower than the sportsbook’s line, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of team strengths and potential game conditions. It’s common to see this market offer insights that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs will be over or under a specific number. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived likelihood of different run totals, influenced by factors like pitching matchups and weather conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Kiwoom Heroes versus Hanwha Eagles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning side (over or under the specified run total). Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those on the incorrect side will lose their investment. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late changes, would likely cause movement. Weather forecasts, particularly rain delays or strong winds, can also impact scoring expectations. Team lineup announcements, especially if key hitters are rested or replaced, will be closely watched by traders. In-game events, like early scoring or dominant pitching performances, could also lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a high- or low-scoring game could move this market.