TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the offensive output of a professional baseball game between the Kiwoom Heroes and Hanwha Eagles, focusing on the total number of runs scored by both teams. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring pace of the match.
The event evaluates whether the total runs scored by both the Kiwoom Heroes and Hanwha Eagles in their KBO game scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT, exceed designated thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the combined score surpasses its respective threshold. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the KBO league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the actual game result, with no adjustments for external factors or interpretations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under the specified line. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the final result. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored in the Kiwoom Heroes versus Hanwha Eagles game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contract pays out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Kiwoom Heroes or the Hanwha Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions at the game location are also a crucial factor, as rain delays or strong winds can affect scoring. Additionally, late-breaking news about pitching matchups or team strategies could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.