TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Hungary NB I game between Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi Budapest, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kisvarda FC vs. Ferencvarosi Budapest match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Hungary NB I game between Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi Budapest, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kisvarda FC vs. Ferencvarosi Budapest match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Polymarket and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different costs and margins, which contribute to potential differences in the displayed odds.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Kisvarda FC vs. Ferencvarosi Budapest match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any official result published by a recognized sporting authority will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the shares they hold in the correct outcome.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Kisvarda FC or Ferencvarosi Budapest would likely cause shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they significantly impact playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or even unexpected lineup changes revealed shortly before kickoff, could prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.