TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kings vs. Warriors
Volume:
$10,251,620
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors scheduled for April 7, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with final score determination including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Kings win OR Warriors win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets correctly distinguish between specific outcomes (Kings win, Warriors win, spread thresholds, totals). Kalshi's binary structure contradicts the sport's mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It violates basic logic by resolving YES regardless of who wins. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, player props, totals) use standard, resolvable logic. If you hold Kalshi, expect platform intervention or forced resolution at 50-50 due to the logical impossibility.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Golden State wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Sacramento wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES in both mutually exclusive scenarios, creating a logical contradiction. No outcome resolves to NO. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market unresolvable under standard prediction market rules.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket's moneyline (item 2) correctly resolves to 'Kings' if Kings win and 'Warriors' if Warriors win, with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. All 26 Polymarket markets use coherent, resolvable logic with defined thresholds, sources (NBA.com official box score), and edge case handling (postponement, cancellation, player inactivity). Example: 'If the Kings win, the market will resolve to Kings. If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to Warriors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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