TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:55 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on real-time information, news, and even subtle signals. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as the event draws nearer and new data becomes available, though they often converge as the game time approaches. Comparing these odds can provide a broader view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The platform uses an automated market maker (AMM) model, meaning prices are determined by a mathematical formula based on the supply and demand of shares, rather than a traditional order book. This dynamic pricing allows for efficient discovery of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kings-Sharks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning side, and the market will settle accordingly. The platform relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's final results to understand when the market will be finalized and payouts distributed.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries, unexpected lineup changes, or significant news regarding team performance could all trigger movement. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, can play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trader behavior. Any development that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market significantly before Oct 4, 2026.