TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kings vs. Nets
Volume:
$3,477,799
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Sacramento Kings and Brooklyn Nets scheduled for March 29 at 6:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Kings" or "Nets" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Sacramento wins OR Brooklyn wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Kings vs. Nets, with spreads and totals as separate derivatives).Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it contains a fatal logical flaw where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. Trade only on Polymarket's Kings vs. Nets moneyline and derivative markets, which follow standard NBA settlement logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline states 'If Sacramento wins the Sacramento at Brooklyn professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Brooklyn wins the Sacramento at Brooklyn professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, violating basic binary market logic and making it impossible to determine a NO outcome.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA settlement: Polymarket structures the event as mutually exclusive outcomes — 'If the Kings win, the market will resolve to Kings. If the Nets win, the market will resolve to Nets.' Spreads, totals, and player props all follow conventional NBA box-score settlement from NBA.com, with clear postponement and cancellation rules (50-50 split if canceled entirely).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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