TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Dallas
- Kalshi
Dallas - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 05h:50m:16s
$
This event group centers around the November 2nd NBA game between the Sacramento Kings and the Dallas Mavericks. Markets cover the game winner, first team to reach specific point totals, whether the game goes to overtime, and who scores first. All platforms rely on the NBA official website for resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 2 at 8:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Sacramento vs. Dallas Pro Basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If Sacramento wins, the Sacramento market resolves to Yes, and the Dallas market resolves to No. Conversely, if Dallas wins, the Dallas market resolves to Yes, and the Sacramento market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 2 at 8:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-11-03 01:00 UTC: If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to "Sacramento Kings". If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. The efficiency of this market, and its ability to incorporate new information, may result in odds that more accurately predict the final result than those offered elsewhere.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Opinion can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerance and information access, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings. Furthermore, the specific market design—the way odds are presented and traded—can influence price discovery. Finally, differing fees or platform-specific rules can contribute to the observed price discrepancies between Polymarket and Opinion.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Kings-Mavericks game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this publicly available data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either the Kings or the Mavericks would likely cause a shift in probabilities. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even travel disruptions could also influence trading activity. Game-day performance, such as early scoring runs or defensive adjustments, will be closely watched. Finally, any significant public endorsements or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could drive further movement in this market.