TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Kilmarnock and St. Johnstone, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other in this league fixture.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Kilmarnock or St. Johnstone wins the match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Kilmarnock winning by more than 2.5 goals, Kilmarnock winning by more than 1.5 goals, St. Johnstone winning by more than 1.5 goals, and St. Johnstone winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific condition that is met—meaning if Kilmarnock wins by a margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if St. Johnstone wins by a margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, the corresponding market is triggered. No resolution occurs for draws or victories within the specified goal margins. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a limited number of experts, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is dynamic and influenced by various factors, including news, injuries, and public opinion, all of which are incorporated into the collective assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone match, as officially recorded by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kilmarnock or St. Johnstone would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about managerial changes or significant team news could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.