TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:08 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Scottish Premiership match between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play. The outcome depends solely on the attacking performance of both sides within the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Kilmarnock and Motherwell both score a goal in the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Scottish Premiership match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are initially set by analysts, they can be slower to adjust to new information or changing sentiment. This market, like others, may show differences compared to initial sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. However, as kickoff nears, the prices on Kalshi often converge with those found at major sportsbooks, representing a combined assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Kilmarnock and Motherwell will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for 'yes' contracts (both teams to score) will drive the price up, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Kilmarnock and Motherwell score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The result will be determined by official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match. Late injury reports for key offensive players on either Kilmarnock or Motherwell would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Team news regarding tactical formations or starting lineups could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity and move the price on Kalshi.