TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
Two Scottish Premiership soccer teams compete in a match where the outcome determines winners based solely on the final score after regulation time. The result will clearly show which team scored more goals or if the match ended equally.
The market resolves based on the result of the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell professional Scottish Premiership soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Kilmarnock wins, the "Kilmarnock" market resolves to Yes. If Motherwell wins, the "Motherwell" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by exploiting the price gap between Kalshi and sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources, can all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probability of each outcome.