TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kilmarnock FC and Motherwell FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kilmarnock FC" if Kilmarnock FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Kilmarnock FC and Motherwell FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kilmarnock FC" if Kilmarnock FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by informed traders on Polymarket, may offer a different perspective, particularly as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. Comparing these odds can reveal where the market believes there’s value, or where sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a team’s chances.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Kilmarnock or Motherwell will score first. As more shares are traded for one outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares for each team effectively represents the market's forecast. The closer we get to the match, the more the price will likely fluctuate as new information becomes available and traders refine their predictions. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the Kilmarnock FC versus Motherwell FC match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any goals scored during regular play, or added time, will be considered. The platform will then settle the market based on this confirmed outcome, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first scoring team.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kilmarnock or Motherwell would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, based on recent match results, will also be a major factor. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any pre-match analysis from reputable football commentators or analysts could sway market sentiment and impact the price of shares in this market.