TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Greece Super League. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full regulation time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals, a specific outcome is also available.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Kifisia vs Aris Thessaloniki professional Greece Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Kifisia, a win for Aris Thessaloniki, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regulation time and stoppage time, with no account for extended play or penalty determinations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines if a significant number of traders hold a different view about the likely outcome of the Kifisia vs Aris match. These differences can arise from varying information or interpretations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Kifisia vs Aris match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of collective belief. The market depth shows the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicating potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kifisia vs Aris match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the resolution process are available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Kifisia or Aris Thessaloniki. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or kickoff time, could also cause significant price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.