TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Kiel and Hoffenheim in the DFB Pokal tournament. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the match's scoring dynamics within regular time.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Kiel vs Hoffenheim DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5), and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals from both teams exceed the respective threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from all resolutions. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and each has its own criteria for resolution. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer. Examining these differences can reveal interesting insights into public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Kiel vs Hoffenheim match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be the total number of goals scored in the Kiel vs Hoffenheim match. This number will be sourced from official match data and verified against trusted sports news outlets. The contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will then pay out at a value of 100, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Kiel or Hoffenheim would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in the starting lineup are also likely to move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could lead to price adjustments on Kalshi.