TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:36 PM EST
Kalshi
The Kiel vs Hoffenheim DFB Pokal fixture will test both teams' abilities to dominate the match. The result hinges on whether Kiel achieves a substantial win or Hoffenheim responds with a strong performance of their own.
The market resolves based on the goal difference in the Kiel vs Hoffenheim DFB Pokal game scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Kiel wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Kiel wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. If Hoffenheim wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes. If Hoffenheim wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by regular time scoring; extra time and penalties do not count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Kiel vs Hoffenheim match, or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn’t. It’s important to consider both when forming your own view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Kiel vs Hoffenheim match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the final spread.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Kiel vs Hoffenheim match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will then settle based on whether the actual spread falls above or below the designated threshold, paying out to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand the settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kiel or Hoffenheim squads would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or even significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.