TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:30 PM ET.
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not directly reflected in traditional statistics. This can lead to differing probabilities for the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares that are purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price will rise, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kidderminster vs. Worthing match, as declared by the governing football authorities. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the event's status and final result, as this will determine the payout of shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team form, tactical adjustments, or even pre-match interviews with key players could all impact the perceived probabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also contribute to price movements, although the market's own dynamics are the primary driver. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, could also cause rapid shifts in the market.