TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates whether the combined runs scored by the Kia Tigers and Samsung Lions in their scheduled game will exceed various thresholds. The outcome hinges on the total number of runs accumulated by both teams during the match.
This market resolves based on the total runs scored by both the Kia Tigers and Samsung Lions in their KBO game scheduled for October 26, 2026. Four separate outcome thresholds are defined: over 5.5 runs, over 7.5 runs, over 9.5 runs, and over 11.5 runs. If the combined runs meet or exceed any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Each threshold represents an independent condition, and the market outcome is determined solely by whether the actual run total surpasses the specified level. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook's line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing the outcomes of the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions game – specifically, whether the total runs scored will be Over or Under 5.5. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; as more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving probabilities as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine whether the total runs exceeded 5.5 or remained below that threshold. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Kia Tigers or the Samsung Lions would likely cause movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also impact trading activity, as weather can affect scoring. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from baseball experts, changes in starting pitchers, or even significant shifts in public betting sentiment could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to the game’s conclusion.