TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses the margin of victory in the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions game, focusing on whether either team wins by a specific run differential. The result depends on how many runs separate the winning and losing teams at the end of the match.
This market resolves based on the run differential by which either the Samsung Lions or Kia Tigers win the game scheduled for October 26, 2026. Four distinct conditions are evaluated: Samsung Lions win by over 2.5 runs, Samsung Lions win by over 1.5 runs, Kia Tigers win by over 1.5 runs, and Kia Tigers win by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the relevant condition if the actual win margin meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Each condition operates independently, and the outcome is determined solely by comparing the final score difference to the stated requirements. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the game's spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate predictions may incur losses.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the game. A win by the Samsung Lions by over 2.5 runs will result in a payout for those who predicted that outcome, while other results will favor opposing positions. The final result will be determined by official game statistics.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Kia Tigers or the Samsung Lions would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as could late-breaking reports on team morale or strategic adjustments. Unexpected performance from pitchers or hitters in previous games could also shift sentiment and impact the price of contracts in this market.