TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market measures the victory margin for Samsung Lions or Kia Tigers in their October 25, 2026 game. Outcomes vary depending on the size of the winning team's lead.
The four markets resolve according to the winning margin in the specified KBO game. The first two markets resolve to Yes if Samsung Lions win by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 runs. The last two markets resolve to Yes if Kia Tigers win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 runs. If the result does not satisfy the specified margin for a given market, that market resolves to No. Secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official connection with the league and that all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It is important to compare both to make informed decisions, but remember that this market represents a distinct perspective based on traders’ assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions spread. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is realized.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions game, specifically the run differential, will determine whether the Kia Tigers win by over or under 2.5 runs. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Kia Tigers or the Samsung Lions would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as could any late-breaking analysis from baseball experts. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment or large trading volume from informed participants could also cause the market to move, reflecting changing expectations about the game’s outcome.