TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
Another professional baseball matchup features the Kia Tigers against the Samsung Lions, set for October 25, 2026. The result hinges on which team emerges victorious in this contest between two prominent Korean league rivals.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Kia Tigers vs Samsung Lions Korea KBO game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tied game leads to a 50/50 resolution for all markets. Kalshi holds no affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting or arbitrage, but remember that prediction markets are not foolproof.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and the overall sentiment of the trading community. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which team, the Kia Tigers or the Samsung Lions, wins the game. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the Korean Baseball Organization and widely available through sports news sources. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup, or weather forecasts could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, managerial decisions, or even public statements from key players could also cause shifts in the odds. Major upsets in other relevant games or broader trends within the Korean Baseball Organization could also contribute to movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.