TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Kia Tigers and Lotte Giants. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event determines whether the total runs scored by both the Kia Tigers and Lotte Giants in their KBO game scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, with the event resolving to 'Yes' if the combined runs surpass the respective threshold. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the total runs scored in the game. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market versus static sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price always reflects the latest collective intelligence of all participants. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, creating a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Kia Tigers versus Lotte Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total runs scored, as officially recorded by the KBO, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the total runs will receive a payout based on the final market price of their contracts at resolution. The market will lock and settle shortly after the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late scratches, would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly the potential for rain delays or strong winds, can also impact the expected run total. In-game events, such as early scoring or dominant pitching performances, could also shift the market as traders react to the unfolding action. Finally, any significant changes in public perception or expert analysis could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.