TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:04 AM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether the combined runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball match will exceed various thresholds. Bettors predict if the game's scoring will be high or low based on team performance and strategies.
This market resolves based on the total runs scored by both the Kia Tigers and LG Twins in their KBO game scheduled for October 20, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. Four separate outcome thresholds are evaluated: over 5.5 runs, over 7.5 runs, over 9.5 runs, and over 11.5 runs. If the combined runs meet or exceed any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into where the crowd and the books disagree on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs will be over or under a specific number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the total runs scored in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of runs scored in the Kia Tigers versus LG Twins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine whether the total runs exceeded or fell short of the relevant threshold. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the Kia Tigers or the LG Twins would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts also play a role, as rain delays or unfavorable conditions can impact scoring. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from baseball experts, shifts in public sentiment, and even early game developments – like a quick start by one team – could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026.