TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Kia Tigers and LG Twins. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Kia Tigers and LG Twins in their KBO game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that specific number. All markets are based on the official game result as recorded by the KBO, and Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with the league or its trademarks. The resolution hinges solely on the final, confirmed run total from the game, regardless of any post-game adjustments or disputes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to reflect a more accurate probability assessment, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook lines as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the total runs expected in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total runs scored in the Kia Tigers versus LG Twins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will determine whether the total runs fall above or below the relevant threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on the official, final game results.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Kia Tigers or the LG Twins would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location are also a key consideration, as rain delays or strong winds can affect scoring. Finally, late-breaking news about pitching matchups or team strategies could also cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.