TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00AM ET: If Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk win, the market will resolve to "Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk". If Sibir Novosibirsk win, the market will resolve to "Sibir Novosibirsk". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00AM ET: If Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk win, the market will resolve to "Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk". If Sibir Novosibirsk win, the market will resolve to "Sibir Novosibirsk". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines based on betting patterns to manage risk. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs about the outcome, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket can sometimes identify discrepancies or undervalued opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a consensus view. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Nizhnekamsk will win, they will buy shares representing that outcome, driving up the price and increasing its implied probability. Conversely, selling pressure on a particular outcome will lower its price.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the KHL game between Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk and Sibir Novosibirsk. Any overtime or shootout periods will be included in determining the final result. The platform will rely on official league data to determine the winner, and the outcome will be reported as soon as it is officially available. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or team performance in recent games could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other KHL matches might also lead to reassessments of team strengths. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis from sports analysts or commentators could impact the perceived probabilities. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability are also likely to cause movement in this market as traders react to the new information.