TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk
Description
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for April 24 at 12:00PM ET: If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win, the market will resolve to "Lokomotiv Yaroslavl". If Avangard Omsk win, the market will resolve to "Avangard Omsk". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES if either team wins, making all outcomes resolve to YES. This is fundamentally unresolvable and contradicts Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—both YES and NO outcomes cannot occur simultaneously. Polymarket's market is the only logically sound option: it resolves to the actual winner (Lokomotiv Yaroslavl or Avangard Omsk) with clear edge case handling for postponement and cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Market resolves to the name of the winning team (Lokomotiv Yaroslavl OR Avangard Omsk). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Quote: 'If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win, the market will resolve to "Lokomotiv Yaroslavl". If Avangard Omsk win, the market will resolve to "Avangard Omsk".'
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction. Market states: 'If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If HK Avangard Omsk wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes trigger YES resolution, leaving no path to NO. This violates binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable.
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