TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minsk
Description
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for March 30 at 12:30PM ET: If HC Dynamo Moscow win, the market will resolve to "HC Dynamo Moscow". If Dinamo Minsk win, the market will resolve to "Dinamo Minsk". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name (binary: Moscow or Minsk), while Kalshi resolves to YES for both possible outcomes, making Kalshi's market logically unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's rules state the market resolves YES if either team wins, which violates basic binary market logic and creates a guaranteed YES resolution regardless of outcome. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves to the name of the winning team (HC Dynamo Moscow or Dinamo Minsk), creating a true binary outcome. Key quote: 'If HC Dynamo Moscow win, the market will resolve to HC Dynamo Moscow. If Dinamo Minsk win, the market will resolve to Dinamo Minsk.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves to YES if either team wins, creating a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes trigger YES resolution. Key quote: 'If Dinamo Minsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If HC Dynamo Moscow wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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