TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Description
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for April 28 at 9:30AM ET: If Avangard Omsk win, the market will resolve to "Avangard Omsk". If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win, the market will resolve to "Lokomotiv Yaroslavl". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Lokomotiv win or Avangard win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction. Polymarket correctly implements a winner-take-all binary structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken: it states both teams winning resolves to Yes, which means there is no way to lose the bet. This is either a platform error or the market description was incorrectly copied. Contact Kalshi support for clarification before committing capital. Polymarket's market is logically sound and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) explicitly. Includes shootout scoring rule (one goal added to winner).
- Kalshi: Defective logic: both Lokomotiv win and Avangard win resolve to Yes. Creates logical tautology where market always resolves Yes regardless of actual game outcome, making it impossible to lose or differentiate between outcomes.
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