TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result will be determined by the final score after the regular period of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within this timeframe; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time and does not account for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation resolutions.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see differences, and these can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, real-time auction. Traders place buy and sell orders for contracts representing the possible outcomes of the Israeli Premier League match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of that outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and forward-looking view of the event's probability. The current top outcome, according to traders, is Kfar Saba winning.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Kfar Saba and Hapoel Afula, as reported by official league sources. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or a significant change in the team’s performance in recent matches, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Any major developments will likely be quickly reflected in the market prices.