TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kevin Durant's Next Team
kalshi

Kevin Durant's Next Team

Volume:
$258,242

Stays with Houston or Retires

 - Kalshi

Stays with Houston or Retires - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stays with Houston or Retires

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,216
N/A
N/A
$43,808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,008
N/A
N/A
$23,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,512
N/A
N/A
$19,743
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,898
N/A
N/A
$15,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,964
N/A
N/A
$11,446
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,739
N/A
N/A
$10,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,805
N/A
N/A
$9,064
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,409
N/A
N/A
$8,371
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,152
N/A
N/A
$8,309
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,773
N/A
N/A
$7,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,648
N/A
N/A
$5,289
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,583
N/A
N/A
$5,583
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,537
N/A
N/A
$5,537
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,165
N/A
N/A
$5,165
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,907
N/A
N/A
$3,451
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,235
N/A
N/A
$3,235
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,921
N/A
N/A
$1,921
Settled
No
kalshi

New York

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,873
N/A
N/A
$1,873
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,400
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,319
N/A
N/A
$1,319
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
$1,188
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlotte

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
$1,160
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooklyn

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$275
Settled
No
kalshi

Sacramento

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
$262
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event concerns Kevin Durant's next professional basketball team assignment before October 21, 2026. The market covers all NBA teams as possible destinations, as well as the possibility that Durant remains with his current team (Houston) or retires from professional play.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome occurs first: Kevin Durant signs with or is traded to any of the specified NBA teams, or he stays with the Houston Rockets or retires, all before October 21, 2026. Each outcome is mutually exclusive—only one can resolve to Yes. The resolution is based on official NBA roster transactions and announcements.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly when it comes to events with a lot of public information. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or margins for profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who have a financial incentive to be correct. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to react to breaking news, while this market's price adjustments depend on trading activity. It's common to see differences in probabilities, but both aim to predict the same outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Kevin Durant joining different NBA teams. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve to the team that Kevin Durant is officially signed with, as reported by major sports news outlets and the NBA itself. The resolution will be based on official announcements and confirmed roster moves, not rumors or speculation. The outcome will be determined by which team Durant is playing for at the start of the 2024-2025 NBA season.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any official statements from Kevin Durant or his representatives regarding his future plans would be a major catalyst. News about potential trades involving Durant, or changes in team needs and cap space, could also cause substantial price movements. Injuries to key players on potential landing spots, or major coaching changes, could also shift expectations. Finally, the performance of teams during the upcoming season and the draft could influence where Durant might prefer to play, impacting the volume and prices within this market.