TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team needs to score for the market to settle as 'Yes'. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over a defined point threshold in the Kentucky vs South Carolina college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution hinges exclusively on the official point totals recorded for each team, with no additional performance metrics or external factors influencing the outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see this market move in response to news and information that hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook odds, potentially offering an edge to informed traders. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn money based on the difference between their buy and sell prices. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their expectations for the Kentucky vs South Carolina game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Kentucky vs South Carolina game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official scores reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team totals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kentucky or South Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in the market as the game approaches.