TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Participants can bet on whether a team will exceed various point thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
All markets resolve based on the official scoring of South Carolina and Kentucky in the first half of their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a specific point threshold for each team; if the team's score exceeds that threshold in the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge as more information becomes available and opinions solidify.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Kentucky vs South Carolina 1st half team total will be over or under a certain value. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the 'yes' outcome and lower prices suggesting a greater probability of the 'no' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the current sentiment and potential liquidity.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Kentucky vs South Carolina 1st half team total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the losing side will receive nothing. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kentucky or South Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations and cause the market to react accordingly.