TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes in an upcoming college football game. Each market focuses on a specific threshold of such scoring plays for either team. The outcomes depend solely on whether the designated team reaches or exceeds the stated number of receiving touchdowns during the contest.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team in the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as a touchdown in which the player who catches the pass crosses the goal line with the ball. Touchdowns scored by other players after recovering a fumble by the intended receiver do not count, unless the receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to score touchdowns than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varied interpretations of the teams' capabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, a team scoring a touchdown. As more people buy contracts predicting a touchdown, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for touchdown scoring in the Kentucky vs Oklahoma game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on official game statistics documenting whether each team successfully scored touchdowns during the Kentucky vs Oklahoma game. The final score and play-by-play details will be used to determine the outcome of this market. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the actual number of touchdowns scored.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Kentucky or Oklahoma would likely cause significant movement, as the ability of star players to score touchdowns is crucial. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted, could also impact expectations. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from sports analysts predicting a shift in offensive strategy could also move this market as traders react to new information.