TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kentucky will win their college football game against Oklahoma by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Kentucky winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 67.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, as reported by the final score of the game. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled game date of October 18, 2026, based on the final result.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. For markets specifying 'Oklahoma wins by over X points' or 'Kentucky wins by over X points,' resolution occurs if the winning team exceeds the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the updated result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their true beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism, distinct from fixed-odds betting systems.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. The resolution will reflect the actual difference in scores between the two teams at the end of the game, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Kentucky or Oklahoma would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual conviction rather than solely following external opinions. Any significant development related to team performance or game conditions has the potential to shift the odds and trading volume.