TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Kentucky and Oklahoma. It focuses solely on performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends on the points scored in that specific segment of the game.
If Oklahoma wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team’s chances, the odds here will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value compared to what you might find at a sportsbook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand from traders, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential fourth-quarter winner. This allows for a fluid valuation of each team’s prospects.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the fourth quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters – such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy – could shift trader sentiment and lead to substantial changes in the market. Public perception and expert analysis leading up to and during the game can also play a role.