TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the final quarter of a college football game between Kentucky and Oklahoma. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored by both teams combined during that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, 7.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Points from overtime periods are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered upon.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public sentiment. If there’s a significant difference, it could suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, or vice versa. It's a good practice to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a potential total points outcome for the Kentucky vs Oklahoma 4th quarter. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s depth and volume—currently $6,514—influence how readily prices change in response to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the fourth quarter of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points range will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Kentucky or Oklahoma would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive or defensive capabilities could lead to price adjustments. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance during the first three quarters could also contribute to volatility in this market.