TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for the third quarter of a college football game between Kentucky and Oklahoma. Participants predict whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific values during that quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different scoring threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points. If the cumulative points exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their action, while this market’s price is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the perceived edge lies, but remember that each represents a different type of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the 3rd quarter total will be above a certain point) or sell 'no' contracts (believing it will be below). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving expectations for the final 3rd quarter score. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd quarter between Kentucky and Oklahoma will be used to determine whether the market settles above or below the designated threshold. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either Kentucky or Oklahoma would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, and any strategic adjustments made by the coaches, could all contribute to movement in this market as traders react to the unfolding events and reassess the likely 3rd quarter total.