TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of an upcoming college football game, specifically analyzing how much one team might outscore the other after halftime.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold: if Oklahoma wins the second half by more than the stated margin, markets labeled for Oklahoma win; conversely, if Kentucky wins the second half by more than the stated margin, those markets resolve accordingly. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting equitable consideration of all known factors up to that point.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public sentiment and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. You may find that this market converges with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, or it could diverge if significant new information emerges that isn’t yet fully priced into traditional betting markets. It’s a valuable comparison point for evaluating the perceived probability of different outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the second half of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma game. Traders buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the actual spread will be greater than the contract’s spread, and 'no' contracts if they believe it will be less. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately represent the probability of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Kentucky vs Oklahoma game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. Contracts predicting a spread that matches or falls within the final result will pay out $100, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on established game data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kentucky or Oklahoma teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders or new information, can quickly shift the price. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, may also contribute to price fluctuations as the game approaches.