TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in a college football game between Kent State and South Florida. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, determining whether South Florida or Kent State achieves a sufficient win margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Kent St. vs South Florida college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If South Florida wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the respective 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if Kent State wins or the point differential does not meet the threshold, the 'No' outcome applies. Postponements are accommodated if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to reflect information similar to that found in sportsbook odds, as both are influenced by the same underlying factors – public perception, expert analysis, and relevant news. However, prediction markets can sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds due to differences in the types of participants and the incentives they have. Sportsbooks aim to profit from setting lines, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. It's common to see this market and sportsbook lines converge closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Kent State vs South Florida game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the game's expected result. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the actual spread falls within the specified range.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Kent State vs South Florida game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle positively, while those predicting a different spread will settle negatively. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kent State or South Florida teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s conditions, could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as large shifts in public betting patterns at sportsbooks, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.