TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether South Florida will win its college football game against Kent State. Currently, Kalshi gives South Florida a 99.0% probability of winning, while Kent State is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Kent St. vs South Florida college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the scheduled match date of October 16, 2026, based on the final score.
The event determines the winner of the college football game between Kent State and South Florida scheduled for October 16, 2026. If South Florida wins the game, the South Florida market resolves to Yes, and the Kent State market resolves to No. Conversely, if Kent State wins, the Kent State market resolves to Yes, and the South Florida market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into market perceptions and potential value bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available liquidity at various price points, indicating the ease of entering or exiting a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kent State vs South Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as officially reported by the relevant sporting authority, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the contract’s terms at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all shift expectations. Significant media coverage or public sentiment changes could also play a role. Game-day weather conditions and any late-breaking news related to team strategies are other potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome can inform trading decisions in this market.