TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Sacramento State will win their college football game against Kent State by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 72.0% probability to Sacramento State winning by over 1.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Kent St. vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score reported after the game concludes on October 31, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Kent St. vs Sacramento St. college football game scheduled for Oct 30, 2026. If Kent St. wins by exceeding the specified point margin, corresponding 'Kent St. wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes; if Sacramento St. wins by exceeding their specified margin, those markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the updated result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. As more people participate, the prices in this market tend to become highly accurate forecasts of the actual event outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market discovers information and adjusts expectations. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views risk losing money. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the likely outcome of the Kent State vs. Sacramento State game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Kent State vs. Sacramento State game. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether their chosen spread matches the actual result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kent State or Sacramento State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, and even public perception shifts based on media coverage could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected upsets in other games featuring these teams could also influence trader sentiment and affect the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.