TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in the Adriatic ABA League. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow defined guidelines for resolution.
If KK Zadar wins the KD Ilirija vs KK Zadar men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If KD Ilirija wins the KD Ilirija vs KK Zadar men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market prices will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants influencing this market’s pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the KD Ilirija vs KK Zadar game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, they’ll buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice-versa.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the KD Ilirija vs KK Zadar game, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome settles positively. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the result, based on the contract price at resolution. Traders should monitor official game results to understand the resolution process and confirm the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions affecting gameplay, might also cause price adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, prompting others to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.