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KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders?

Volume:
$7,773,713

KC Chiefs wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$775,608
N/A
N/A
$471,784
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$601,538
N/A
N/A
$329,132
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,583,864
N/A
N/A
$680,744
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,576,872
N/A
N/A
$791,431
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$858,103
N/A
N/A
$426,613
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502,579
N/A
N/A
$230,102
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$467,951
N/A
N/A
$203,227
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265,650
N/A
N/A
$107,751
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230,219
N/A
N/A
$125,865
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155,914
N/A
N/A
$72,044
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155,279
N/A
N/A
$61,248
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,128
N/A
N/A
$77,600
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,504
N/A
N/A
$71,022
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,549
N/A
N/A
$53,954
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,078
N/A
N/A
$46,592
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,036
N/A
N/A
$37,032
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,836
N/A
N/A
$29,844
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,519
N/A
N/A
$19,194
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,901
N/A
N/A
$24,209
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,510
N/A
N/A
$20,090
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,701
N/A
N/A
$18,513
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,640
N/A
N/A
$13,447
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,821
N/A
N/A
$10,399
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,793
N/A
N/A
$7,659
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,120
N/A
N/A
$6,754
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market asks whether the KC Chiefs will win their game against the LV Raiders by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 83.0%. The market will resolve based on the final point differential in the KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders Pro Football game, as determined by the official game results. Participants should closely watch the outcome of the game on October 4, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the game and the basis for market resolution.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential indicated in the market title. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete per official league rules, all markets will be voided. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs-Raiders spread market displays the current price, a historical price chart, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different point spreads for the game. The current volume for this market is $7,113,683, and the total volume traded to date is $7,773,713. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within the Chiefs-Raiders spread market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging toward what many consider the 'true' probability of an event. However, there can be divergences between this market and traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly bet against each other, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. It’s common to see differences in the spread offered here compared to what is available from major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges and impacts perceived probabilities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ collective assessment of the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price isn't set by a bookmaker, but rather emerges from the interactions of many participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Chiefs-Raiders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the NFL, and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those who bet on an incorrect spread will forfeit their stake. The market will close prior to the game’s completion to prevent manipulation.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Raiders would likely cause price movement. Changes in quarterback status, reports on offensive or defensive strategies, or even weather forecasts for the game day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or coaching decisions could also play a role. As the game approaches, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, will be incorporated into the price of contracts within this market.